Showing posts with label Trends. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Trends. Show all posts

Life Next: How Our World Could Change Post-Pandemic

Whilst exponential change has been part of our reality for some time, the Covid-19 pandemic has given renewed impetus for enterprise and government to consider the future, asking questions like: What’s next for work-life? How might the crisis re-energise businesses and business models? And how might the way we live at home change in the future? 

Marian Salzman is Senior Vice President, Communications at Philip Morris International, a world renowned trend-spotter, and a contributor to the Fast Future book, Aftershocks and Opportunities 2 - Navigating the Next Horizon. The title of her chapter is, "Life Next: How Our World Could Change Post-Pandemic".

Listen to the podcast on YouTube by clicking below or on the Anchor podcast platform

You can learn more about Marian and her work by connecting with her as follows:
Website: mariansalzman.com
LinkedIn: mariansalzman
Twitter: mariansalzman

For information about the book Aftershocks and Opportunities 2 – Navigating the Next Horizon see the Fast Future website.

Image Source: https://pixabay.com/illustrations/man-silhouette-think-window-4319064/

Shifts on the Path to 2030

In the newly published book, Aftershocks and Opportunities 2 – Navigating the Next Horizon published by Fast Future Publishing, editor and author Rohit Talwar explores 20 emerging future factors that could turn into influential shifts shaping the next decade and beyond. The shifts he identifies can be characterised under the headings; Operating Environment, Lives and Lifestyles, Economy, and Business and Technology. 

While a number of those shifts are on trend, which have been supercharged by the pandemic?

Listen to the podcast on You Tube by clicking below or on the Anchor podcast platform

You can learn more about Rohit and his work by contacting him and connecting with him as follows:

Email: Rohit@fastfuture.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/rohit-talwar-futurist-keynote-speaker  
Twitter: https://twitter.com/fastfuture
Website www.fastfuture.com

For information about the book Aftershocks and Opportunities 2 – Navigating the Next Horizon click here

Six Key Forces Shaping the Future

Our world is being subjected to exponential change making it increasingly uncertain and complex. It can be helpful to articulate the major forces at a high level to help us categorise the nature of the changes we see. Beneath that we can then add richness by adding drivers and trends that underpin the forces. But for now we will focus on six key forces shaping our future.

So in this presentation, I briefly explore:  A More Complex Multi-Faceted World; Individuals Shaping Their Own Futures; Sustainability - A License to Operate; Emerging Consumers; Exponential Technology Development; and Two Worlds Collide.

The question is, what key forces of change might impact your future?


Reflections on Nesta’s Event: Working Better - Using Data and Design to Create an Inclusive, Future-oriented System for Jobs and Skills


The challenge of enabling a "fairer future of work" was addressed at Nesta's event back in October. A world experiencing exponential change as digital and other technologies challenge our perspectives on life, society, business, the world of work, the nature of jobs, and the notion of "fairness" in the context of work - and even "work" itself – is the context.

It's hard to generalise about employment trends globally but many developed economies are enjoying close to full employment, or low levels of unemployment. Our political and economic systems and processes are geared to creating an environment that seeks to provide full employment. But there is uncertainty about how sustainable that model is, which begs the question, what then?

The Changing Nature of Work

Based on the analysis of trends in work, the changing nature of work, evolution of new business sectors as old traditional industries die, ideas of how we prepare for new jobs, where the new jobs are created, and how cohorts of existing workers are retrained to allow them to access employment opportunities were the focus of the discussion. The use of new technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI) and Big Data were behind ideas linking candidates’ experiences, skills, and qualifications with job opportunities and training interventions.

There's clearly a benefit in bringing data sets together to inform faster decisions about the evolving jobs market now. Better data, better information, better insight, better matching of people to jobs to support the development of near term policy and action.

However, there's a "but". I understand the benefit of extrapolating from the past to create insights about the evolution of the jobs market and the world of work. I understand the benefit of seeking new data sets, and bringing them together to help generate even more insight. But, will a focus on analysing and extrapolating from the past alone, help us prepare adequately for the future; especially if that future is radically different?

The Future of Work

If we look at the number of studies into the future of work we see a significant range of possibilities from increasing levels of employment through jobs created by new technologies and new industry sectors, the radical redesign of many existing jobs, to potentially many jobs displaced by automation technologies.

So for me, the question is how can we use foresight to pressure test the assumptions we draw from extrapolating trends in jobs, work, and the jobs market? What are the societal options we may need to consider to ensure that people continue to live fulfilling lives? How does the nature of education and training change in a world where we are uncertain about the future of employment? And within the recruitment sector, how do we address the rebalancing of technical skills with softer skills and human experiences?

The event demonstrated a number of valuable partnerships across government (DoE / DWP) and between NGOs and government. These partnerships become increasingly important given the likely change of emphasis in the skills required for the future world of work. For example, if many businesses are using the same automated / AI-enabled systems and products and services have a very similar look and feel, how will we differentiate our offerings to customers and clients? Can we re-align people to study a new portfolio of skills where the balance tips from technical to creative and so called soft skills?  Even now, the question of assessing a candidate’s soft skills is increasingly pertinent. Is the recruitment sector truly capable of integrating soft skills into the selection process?

Fairness

The notion of "fairness" is crucial in that access to work and jobs must be made on the ability of the candidate to fulfil a given role and not on the candidate’s ability to access the right technology. So the democratisation of technology through ubiquitous connectivity is one example of how national infrastructure needs significant improvement to support a fairness expansion. Access to skills training enabling more people to use technology as well as access to the technology itself needs to be addressed.

There was discussion about the applicability of some technologies in supporting “fairness” including the effectiveness of facial recognition with darker skin tones. Which begs a question of the development of algorithms and specially the audit of them to ensure they are technically capable of operating without bias.

Preparing People Better for Future Jobs

The question here is, can the effective use of jobs and work data be used to prepare people better for future jobs?

Here, the idea of a “commons data set” accessible widely would allow candidates, employers, recruiters, educators, and policy makers to review evolving business sectors and more effectively match people and jobs – and even provide support where start-ups would have access to the right talent pool.

But the question of how to prepare for the longer term future remains.

At what point, for example, do we need to switch from a technical focused education system to one focused on more human skills; coaching, facilitation, motivation, mind-set and leadership, creativity, collaboration, problem solving, systems thinking etc.

Future job systems also need to factor in attitude as well as technical skills. The labour market of the future is likely to have to become more flexible, resilient, supported by suitable training and retraining, and a much better understanding of the dynamics that will underpin the jobs market in an increasingly digitised society subjected to exponential change.

Questions
Here are four questions that the event posed for me:

  • How do organisations effectively assess soft skills and attitudes when recruiting new employees?
  • What needs to happen to effectively match workers in the gig economy with work opportunities? 
  • What role should foresight play in setting the context for future focused education and training policy and design?
  • What is the optimal balance between system and process automation and personal interaction in matching people with work opportunities?

Image Credit: Alexas Fotos via https://pixabay.com/photos/figures-professions-work-funny-fun-1372458/

How Futurists Can Help Megaprojects

In this interview with Karlene Agard from ARAVUN, Steve shares his thoughts on how project leaders can benefit from using foresight to identify and make sense of future trends to help consider and prepare for uncertainty.


 

Strategic Trends in Aviation

By Steve Wells, Rohit Talwar, and Alexandra Whittington


From the continued evolution in airframe design and new materials, to new engine and propulsion technologies, and the apparent demise of the jumbo jet as an air travel concept, thinking on aircraft manufacturing is in a renaissance phase. In this environment, the strategies and business models of manufacturers will increasingly be driven by how new technologies can provide additional opportunities to meet passenger and airline demands and continue to enhance the inflight experience.

 

These opportunities will continue to evolve to enable manufacturers to deliver and maintain aircraft in an increasingly connected, cost effective, and sustainability conscious manner. Here are some of the innovations taking place in aircraft technology and manufacture today, and the possible innovations of the next decade:

  • Growing Reliance on AI
  • Aircraft-as-a-Service
  • Personal Air Transportation
  • Folding Wings
  • Commercial Supersonic Services
  • Biofuels
  • Elimination of Turbulence and Noiseless Aviation
  • Development of Electric Planes
  • Capsules Transported by Carrier Aircraft

The future depends on the interactions between a variety of factors, from environment to consumer preferences, none of which we can actually predict. However, the amount of innovation and creativity now on display suggests that there is a renaissance of ideas which are defining the future of aviation technology. 


To read the full article, click here.


Image Credit: https://pixabay.com/photos/airplane-paper-freedom-handmade-fly-2648958/